Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.045263 0.049344 0.053490 0.058009 0.062790 0.067689 0.073083
2024-12-22 0.039947 0.046022 0.052423 0.059643 0.067534 0.075869 0.085312
2024-12-29 0.035312 0.042792 0.050940 0.060410 0.071051 0.082578 0.095947
2025-01-05 0.031563 0.040086 0.049655 0.061078 0.074229 0.088784 0.105998
2025-01-12 0.027820 0.036991 0.047590 0.060565 0.075841 0.093078 0.113822
2025-01-19 0.025446 0.035258 0.046896 0.061458 0.078930 0.098970 0.123438
2025-01-26 0.022741 0.032867 0.045196 0.060960 0.080228 0.102676 0.130461
2025-02-02 0.020779 0.031230 0.044262 0.061253 0.082364 0.107297 0.138523
2025-02-09 0.019445 0.030280 0.044085 0.062393 0.085468 0.113042 0.147921
2025-02-16 0.018845 0.030240 0.045022 0.064905 0.090258 0.120841 0.159839
2025-02-23 0.016458 0.027585 0.042396 0.062719 0.089056 0.121243 0.162737
2025-03-02 0.014894 0.025957 0.041021 0.062055 0.089693 0.123845 0.168279
2025-03-09 0.013518 0.024528 0.039875 0.061680 0.090729 0.127015 0.174649
2025-03-16 0.013102 0.024490 0.040636 0.063866 0.095116 0.134450 0.186408
2025-03-23 0.012365 0.023908 0.040591 0.064931 0.098029 0.140038 0.195909
2025-03-30 0.011623 0.023261 0.040408 0.065776 0.100637 0.145246 0.204967
2025-04-06 0.010575 0.022044 0.039329 0.065310 0.101449 0.148121 0.211067
2025-04-13 0.010003 0.021558 0.039293 0.066292 0.104205 0.153521 0.220417
2025-04-20 0.009102 0.020447 0.038255 0.065788 0.104895 0.156203 0.226275
2025-04-27 0.008474 0.019753 0.037812 0.066109 0.106697 0.160338 0.234021
2025-05-04 0.008098 0.019473 0.037987 0.067318 0.109728 0.166108 0.243914
2025-05-11 0.008062 0.019803 0.039127 0.069970 0.114804 0.174642 0.257474
2025-05-18 0.006993 0.018136 0.036999 0.067667 0.112838 0.173707 0.258602